A Pilot Study Using Machine Learning Algorithms and Wearable Technology for the Early Detection of Postoperative Complications After Cardiothoracic Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether a machine learning algorithm (i.e. the "NightSignal" algorithm) can be used for the detection of postoperative complications prior to symptom onset after cardiothoracic surgery. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Methods that enable the early detection of postoperative complications after cardiothoracic surgery are needed. METHODS: This was a prospective observational cohort study conducted from July 2021 to February 2023 at a single academic tertiary care hospital. Patients aged 18 years or older scheduled to undergo cardiothoracic surgery were recruited. Study participants wore a Fitbit watch continuously for at least 1 week preoperatively and up to 90-days postoperatively. The ability of the NightSignal algorithm-which was previously developed for the early detection of Covid-19-to detect postoperative complications was evaluated. The primary outcomes were algorithm sensitivity and specificity for postoperative event detection. RESULTS: A total of 56 patients undergoing cardiothoracic surgery met inclusion criteria, of which 24 (42.9%) underwent thoracic operations and 32 (57.1%) underwent cardiac operations. The median age was 62 (IQR: 51-68) years and 30 (53.6%) patients were female. The NightSignal algorithm detected 17 of the 21 postoperative events a median of 2 (IQR: 1-3) days prior to symptom onset, representing a sensitivity of 81%. The specificity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value of the algorithm for the detection of postoperative events were 75%, 97%, and 28%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning analysis of biometric data collected from wearable devices has the potential to detect postoperative complications-prior to symptom onset-after cardiothoracic surgery.

Association between long-term use of calcium channel blockers (CCB) and the risk of breast cancer: a retrospective longitudinal observational study protocol.

INTRODUCTION: Calcium channel blockers (CCB), a commonly prescribed antihypertensive (AHT) medicine, may be associated with increased risk of breast cancer. The proposed study aims to examine whether long-term CCB use is associated with the development of breast cancer and to characterise the dose-response nature of any identified association, to inform future hypertension management. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The study will use data from 2 of Australia's largest cohort studies; the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health, and the 45 and Up Study, combined with the Rotterdam Study. Eligible women will be those with diagnosed hypertension, no history of breast cancer and no prior CCB use at start of follow-up (2004-2009). Cumulative dose-duration exposure to CCB and other AHT medicines will be captured at the earliest date of: the outcome (a diagnosis of invasive breast cancer); a competing risk event (eg, bilateral mastectomy without a diagnosis of breast cancer, death prior to any diagnosis of breast cancer) or end of follow-up (censoring event). Fine and Gray competing risks regression will be used to assess the association between CCB use and development of breast cancer using a generalised propensity score to adjust for baseline covariates. Time-varying covariates related to interaction with health services will also be included in the model. Data will be harmonised across cohorts to achieve identical protocols and a two-step random effects individual patient-level meta-analysis will be used. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval was obtained from the following Human research Ethics Committees: Curtin University (ref No. HRE2022-0335), NSW Population and Health Services Research Ethics Committee (2022/ETH01392/2022.31), ACT Research Ethics and Governance Office approval under National Mutual Acceptance for multijurisdictional data linkage research (2022.STE.00208). Results of the proposed study will be published in high-impact journals and presented at key scientific meetings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05972785.

Vibrational Anharmonicity and Energy Relaxation in Nanoscale Acoustic Resonators.

The fundamental and n = 3 overtones of Au nanoplate thickness vibrations have been studied by transient absorption microscopy. The frequencies of the n = 3 overtone are less than 3× the frequency of the fundamental. This anharmonicity is explained through a continuum mechanics model that includes organic layers on top of the nanoplate and between the nanoplate and the glass substrate. In this model, anharmonicity arises from coupling between the vibrations of the nanoplate and the organic layers, which creates avoided crossings that reduce the overtone frequencies compared to the fundamental. Comparison of the experimental and calculated quality factors shows that coupling occurs to the top organic layer. Good agreement between the measured and calculated quality factors is obtained by introducing internal damping for the nanoplate. These results show that engineering layers of soft material around metal nanostructures can be used to control the vibrational lifetimes.

Use of CT, ED presentation and hospitalisations 12 months before and after a diagnosis of cancer in Western Australia: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the use of CT, emergency department (ED)-presentation and hospitalisation and in 12 months before and after a diagnosis of cancer. DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING: West Australian linked administrative records at individual level. PARTICIPANTS: 104 009 adults newly diagnosed with cancer in 2004-2014. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: CT use, ED presentations, hospitalisations. RESULTS: As compared with the rates in the 12th month before diagnosis, the rate of CT scans started to increase from 2 months before diagnosis with an increase in both ED presentations and hospitalisation from 1 month before the diagnosis. These rates peaked in the month of diagnosis for CT scans (477 (95% CI 471 to 482) per 1000 patients), and for hospitalisations (910 (95% CI 902 to 919) per 1000 patients), and the month prior to diagnosis for ED (181 (95% CI 178 to 184) per 1000 patients) then rapidly reduced after diagnosis but remained high for the next 12 months. While the patterns of the health services used were similar between 2004 and 2014, the rate of the health services used during after diagnosis was higher in 2014 versus 2004 except for CT use in patients with lymphohaematopoietic cancer with a significant reduction. CONCLUSION: Our results showed an increase in demand for health services from 2 months before diagnosis of cancer. Increasing use of health services during and post cancer diagnosis may warrant further investigation to identify factors driving this change.

Evolution of non-perfused volume after transurethral ultrasound ablation of prostate: A retrospective 12-month analysis.

Background: A detailed understanding of the non-perfused volume (NPV) evolution after prostate ablation therapy is lacking. The impact of different diseased prostate tissues on NPV evolution post-ablation is unknown. Purpose: To characterize the NPV evolution for three treatment groups undergoing heat-based prostate ablation therapy, including benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH), primary prostate cancer (PCa), and radiorecurrent PCa. Materials and methods: Study design and data analysis were performed retrospectively. All patients received MRI-guided transurethral ultrasound ablation (TULSA). 21 BPH, 28 radiorecurrent PCa and 40 primary PCa patients were included. Using the T1-weighted contrast-enhanced MR image, the NPV was manually contoured by an experienced radiologist. All patients received an MRI immediately following the ablation. Follow-up included MRI at 3- and 12 months for BPH and radiorecurrent PCa patients and at 6- and 12 months for primary PCa patients. Results: A significant difference between BPH and radiorecurrent PCa patients was observed at three months (p < 0.0001, Wilcoxon rank sum test), with the median NPV decreasing by 77 % for BPH patients but increasing by 4 % for radiorecurrent PCa patients. At six months, the median NPV decreased by 97 % for primary PCa. Across all groups, although 40 % of patients had residual NPV at 12 months, it tended to be < 1 mL. Conclusion: The resolution of necrotic tissue after ablation was markedly slower for irradiated than treatment-naïve prostate tissue. These results may account for the increased toxicity observed after radiorecurrent salvage therapy. By 12 months, most necrotic prostate tissue had disappeared in every treatment group.

Patterns of computed tomography utilisation in injury management: latent classes approach using linked administrative data in Western Australia.

PURPOSE: Whilst computed tomography (CT) imaging has been a vital component of injury management, its increasing use has raised concern regarding ionising radiation exposure. This study aims to identify latent classes (underlying patterns) of CT use over a 3-year period following the incidence of injury and factors predicting the observed patterns. METHOD: A retrospective observational cohort study was conducted in 21,544 individuals aged 18 + years presenting to emergency departments (ED) of four tertiary public hospitals with new injury in Western Australia. Mixture modelling approach was used to identify latent classes of CT use over a 3-year period post injury. RESULTS: Amongst injured people with at least one CT scan, three latent classes of CT use were identified including a: temporarily high CT use (46.4%); consistently high CT use (2.6%); and low CT use class (51.1%). Being 65 + years or older, having 3 + comorbidities, history with 3 + hospitalisations and history of CT use before injury were associated with consistently high use of CT. Injury to the head, neck, thorax or abdomen, being admitted to hospital after the injury and arriving to ED by ambulance were predictors for the temporarily high use class. Living in areas of higher socio-economic disadvantage was a unique factor associated with the low CT use class. CONCLUSIONS: Instead of assuming a single pattern of CT use for all patients with injury, the advanced latent class modelling approach has provided more nuanced understanding of the underlying patterns of CT use that may be useful for developing targeted interventions.

Intralesional microbleeding in resected thymic cysts indeterminate on imaging.

Background: The propensity of thymic cysts to mimic solid thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) on computed tomography (CT), on account of attenuation values greater than water and thickened or calcified walls, can lead to non-therapeutic thymectomy. These lesions can fluctuate in volume, CT attenuation, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) signal over time. We hypothesized that spontaneous hemorrhage and resorption may contribute to their variable appearance over time. Methods: Completely excised thymic cysts were identified retrospectively over a 20-year period by their pathologic diagnosis. Cysts were excluded if they did not have available presurgical imaging, were not prevascular, were located within or contained an enhancing mass by imaging, or were of non-thymic origin upon microscopic review. Histopathological analysis of all available resected thymic cyst material and radiologic analysis of the cysts on pre-operative imaging were performed. Results: Upon application of exclusion criteria, we identified 18 thymic cysts from the initial 85 mediastinal cystic specimens. Most cysts were unilocular (11/15, 73%), showed turbid-to-semisolid, hemorrhagic fluid (10/12, 83%) and showed histopathological findings suggestive of intralesional microbleeding (14/18, 78%), remodeling (8/18, 44%), pathological wound healing/scarring of the capsule (16/18, 89%), and fat necrosis in the surrounding thymic tissue (12/18, 67%). On CT, 6/17 (35%) cysts demonstrated wall calcification. Sixty-five percent (11/17) had attenuation values ≥20 Hounsfield units (HU). Two of the 4 cysts imaged by MRI were T1-isointense, one was mixed hyper- and isointense, and one T1-hypointense to muscle, with iso- and hyperintensity indicating hemorrhagic or proteinaceous content. Twenty-five percent (1/4) of cyst walls imaged by MRI were T1/T2-hypointense, indicating presence of calcification, hemosiderin, and/or fibrosis. Conclusions: Resected thymic cysts in this cohort often showed features suggestive of intralesional microbleeding, inflammation, and fibrosis, which may explain their appearance and behavior over time on CT and MRI.

B cell-dependent subtypes and treatment-based immune correlates to survival in stage 3 and 4 lung adenocarcinomas.

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Surgery and chemoradiation are the standard of care in early stages of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), while immunotherapy is the standard of care in late-stage NSCLC. The immune composition of the tumor microenvironment (TME) is recognized as an indicator for responsiveness to immunotherapy, although much remains unknown about its role in responsiveness to surgery or chemoradiation. In this pilot study, we characterized the NSCLC TME using mass cytometry (CyTOF) and bulk RNA sequencing (RNA-Seq) with deconvolution of RNA-Seq being performed by Kassandra, a recently published deconvolution tool. Stratification of patients based on the intratumoral abundance of B cells identified that the B-cell rich patient group had increased expression of CXCL13 and greater abundance of PD1+ CD8 T cells. The presence of B cells and PD1+ CD8 T cells correlated positively with the presence of intratumoral tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS). We then assessed the predictive and prognostic utility of these cell types and TLS within publicly available stage 3 and 4 lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) RNA-Seq datasets. As previously described by others, pre-treatment expression of intratumoral 12-chemokine TLS gene signature is associated with progression free survival (PFS) in patients who receive treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). Notably and unexpectedly pre-treatment percentages of intratumoral B cells are associated with PFS in patients who receive surgery, chemotherapy, or radiation. Further studies to confirm these findings would allow for more effective patient selection for both ICI and non-ICI treatments.

Mode specific dynamics for the acoustic vibrations of a gold nanoplate.

The vibrational modes of semiconductor and metal nanostructures occur in the MHz to GHz frequency range, depending on dimensions. These modes are at the heart of nano-optomechanical devices, and understanding how they dissipate energy is important for applications of the devices. In this paper ultrafast transient absorption microscopy has been used to examine the breathing modes of a single gold nanoplate, where up to four overtones were observed. Analysis of the frequencies and amplitudes of the modes using a simple continuum mechanics model shows that the system behaves as a free plate, even though it is deposited onto a surface with no special preparation. The overtones decay faster than the fundamental mode, which is not predicted by continuum mechanics calculations of mode damping due to radiation of sound waves. Possible reasons for this effect include frequency dependent thermoelastic effects in the nanoplate, and/or flow of acoustic energy out of the excitation region.

Computed Tomography Angiography for Detection of Pulmonary Embolism in Western Australia Shows Increasing Use with Decreasing Diagnostic Yield.

(1) Background: Pulmonary embolism (PE) can be fatal. Computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) can accurately diagnose PE, but it should be used only when reasonable pre-test probability exists. Overtesting with CTPA exposes patients to excess ionizing radiation and contrast media, while PE overdiagnosis leads to the treatment of small emboli unlikely to cause harm. This study assessed trends in CTPA use and diagnostic yield. We also assessed trends in PE hospitalizations and mortality to indicate PE severity. (2) Methods: Analysis of Western Australian linked administrative data for 2003-2015 including hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) attendances, and CTPA performed at hospitals. Age-sex standardized trends were calculated for CTPA use, PE hospitalizations, and mortality (as a proxy for severity). Logistic regression assessed diagnostic yield of CTPA following unplanned ED presentations. (3) Results: CTPA use increased from 3.3 per 10,000 person-years in 2003 (95% CI 3.0-3.6) to 17.1 per 10,000 person-years (16.5-17.7) in 2015. Diagnostic yield of CTPA increased from 12.7% in 2003 to 17.4% in 2005, declining to 12.2% in 2015 (p = 0.049). PE hospitalizations increased from 3.8 per 10,000 (3.5-4.1) in 2003 to 5.2 per 10,000 (4.8-5.5) in 2015. Mortality remained constant at 0.50 per 10,000 (0.39-0.62) in 2003 and 0.42 per 10,000 (0.32-0.51) in 2015. (4) Conclusions: CTPA increased from 2003 to 2015, while diagnostic yield decreased, potentially indicating overtesting. PE mortality remained constant despite increasing hospitalizations, likely indicating a higher proportion of less severe cases. As treatment can be harmful, this could represent overdiagnosis.

Deep learning prediction of non-perfused volume without contrast agents during prostate ablation therapy.

The non-perfused volume (NPV) is an important indicator of treatment success immediately after prostate ablation. However, visualization of the NPV first requires an injection of MRI contrast agents into the bloodstream, which has many downsides. Purpose of this study was to develop a deep learning model capable of predicting the NPV immediately after prostate ablation therapy without the need for MRI contrast agents. A modified 2D deep learning UNet model was developed to predict the post-treatment NPV. MRI imaging data from 95 patients who had previously undergone prostate ablation therapy for treatment of localized prostate cancer were used to train, validate, and test the model. Model inputs were T1/T2-weighted and thermometry MRI images, which were always acquired without any MRI contrast agents and prior to the final NPV image on treatment-day. Model output was the predicted NPV. Model accuracy was assessed using the Dice-Similarity Coefficient (DSC) by comparing the predicted to ground truth NPV. A radiologist also performed a qualitative assessment of NPV. Mean (std) DSC score for predicted NPV was 85% ± 8.1% compared to ground truth. Model performance was significantly better for slices with larger prostate radii (> 24 mm) and for whole-gland rather than partial ablation slices. The predicted NPV was indistinguishable from ground truth for 31% of images. Feasibility of predicting NPV using a UNet model without MRI contrast agents was clearly established. If developed further, this could improve patient treatment outcomes and could obviate the need for contrast agents altogether. Trial Registration Numbers Three studies were used to populate the data: NCT02766543, NCT03814252 and NCT03350529. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13534-022-00250-y.

Safety and efficacy of MRI-guided transurethral ultrasound ablation for radiorecurrent prostate cancer in the presence of gold fiducial markers.

BACKGROUND: Safety and efficacy of ultrasound prostate ablation for radiorecurrent prostate cancer (PCa) in the presence of gold fiducial markers has not been previously reported. PURPOSE: To evaluate safety, functional, and early-stage oncological outcomes for patients with gold fiducial markers undergoing salvage magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-guided transurethral ultrasound ablation (sTULSA) for radiorecurrent PCa. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data were acquired from an ethics-approved, single-center phase-1 study. Eight patients with 18 total gold fiducial markers inside the planned treatment volume were identified. MRI controls were performed at three and 12 months, followed by PSMA-PET-CT imaging and biopsies at 12 months. A control cohort of 13 patients who underwent sTULSA without markers were also identified for safety profile comparison. Adverse events were reported using the Clavien-Dindo classification, and questionnaires including EPIC-26, IPSS, and IIEF-5 were collected. RESULTS: Of 18 markers, 2 (11%) were directly responsible for poor ultrasound penetration. However, there were no local recurrences at 12 months. PSA, prostate volume, and non-perfused volume all decreased over time. At 12 months, 11/18 (61%) of fiducial markers had disappeared via sloughing. The adverse event profile was similar between both patient cohorts, and when controlled for ablation type, no statistical difference in functional outcomes between the two cohorts was observed. CONCLUSION: Patients with radiorecurrent PCa with intraprostatic gold fiducial markers can be successfully treated with TULSA. The early-stage efficacy of sTULSA for patients with intraprostatic gold markers is encouraging and the safety profile is unaffected by marker presence.

Invasive Infections Caused by Lancefield Groups C/G and A Streptococcus, Western Australia, Australia, 2000-2018.

Epidemiologic data on invasive group C/G Streptococcus (iGCGS) infections are sparse internationally. Linked population-level hospital, pathology, and death data were used to describe the disease burden in Western Australia, Australia, during 2000-2018 compared with that of invasive group A Streptococcus (GAS, Streptococcus pyogenes) infections. Of 1,270 cases, 866 (68%) occurred in men. Patients with iGCGS infection were older (median age 62 years) than those with invasive GAS (median age 44 years; p<0.0001). The age and sex-adjusted incidence rate ratio by year was 1.08 (95% CI 1.07-1.09). The incidence rate ratio for Indigenous compared with non-Indigenous Australians was 3.6 (95% CI 3.0-4.3). The all-cause 90-day death rate was 9% for iGCGS infection compared with 7% for invasive GAS (p = 0.03). iGCGS infection was more common in men and older persons and had a higher death rate, perhaps reflecting the effect of age and comorbidities on incidence and death.

Supernovae and the Arrow of Time.

Supernovae are explosions of stars and are a central problem in astrophysics. Rayleigh-Taylor (RT) and Richtmyer-Meshkov (RM) instabilities develop during the star's explosion and lead to intense interfacial RT/RM mixing of the star materials. We handle the mathematical challenges of the RT/RM problem based on the group theory approach. We directly link the conservation laws governing RT/RM dynamics to the symmetry-based momentum model, derive the model parameters, and find the analytical solutions and characteristics of RT/RM dynamics with variable accelerations in the linear, nonlinear and mixing regimes. The theory outcomes explain the astrophysical observations and yield the design of laboratory experiments. They suggest that supernova evolution is a non-equilibrium process directed by the arrow of time.

Trend in CT utilisation and its impact on length of stay, readmission and hospital mortality in Western Australia tertiary hospitals: an analysis of linked administrative data 2003-2015.

OBJECTIVE: High use of CT scanning has raised concern due to the potential ionising radiation exposure. This study examined trends of CT during admission to tertiary hospitals and its associations with length of stay (LOS), readmission and mortality. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study from 2003 to 2015. SETTING: West Australian linked administrative records at individual level. PARTICIPANTS: 2 375 787 episodes of tertiary hospital admission in adults aged 18+ years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: LOS, 30-day readmissions and mortality stratified by CT use status (any, multiple (CTs to multiple areas during episode), and repeat (repeated CT to the same area)). METHODS: Multivariable regression models were used to calculate adjusted rate of CT use status. The significance of changes since 2003 in the outcomes (LOS, 30-day readmission and mortality) was compared among patients with specific CT imaging status relative to those without. RESULTS: Between 2003 and 2015, while the rate of CT increased 3.4% annually, the rate of repeat CTs significantly decreased -1.8% annually and multiple CT showed no change. Compared with 2003 while LOS had a greater decrease in those with any CT, 30-day readmissions had a greater increase among those with any CT, while the probability of mortality remained unchanged between the any CT/no CT groups. A similar result was observed in patients with multiple and repeat CT scanning, except for a significant increase in mortality in the recent years in the repeat CT group. CONCLUSION: The observed pattern of increase in CT utilisation is likely to be activity-based funding policy-driven based on the discordance between LOS and readmissions. Meanwhile, the repeat CT reduction aligns with a more selective strategy of use based on clinical severity. Future research should incorporate in-hospital and out-of-hospital CT to better understand overall CT trends and potential shifts between settings over time.

Association of regulatory body actions and subsequent media coverage with use of services in a fee-for-service system: a longitudinal cohort study of CT scanning in Australia.

OBJECTIVE: The professional service review (PSR) is an Australian Government agency aiming to reduce inappropriate practices funded via Medicare, Australia's public insurer. Our objective was to examine changes in CT following the 2008-2009 PSR annual report, which noted excessive CT use. DESIGN: Interrupted time series analysis examined trends in CT use following the 2008-2009 PSR report, estimating both change in the immediate rate of CT and the slope of the trend in usage postintervention. SETTING: Medicare-funded imaging (most out-of-hospital imaging) in Australia. PARTICIPANTS: Patients receiving Medicare-funded CT and other imaging. INTERVENTION: The 2008-2009 PSR report highlighted concerns regarding excessive CT use. Two providers were financially penalised for CT overuse with these cases detailed in the PSR report and highlighted in an associated Report to the Professions, distributed to 50 000 providers. Media articles on radiation risks followed. OUTCOMES: Quarterly rates of out-of-hospital CT, MRI (as a comparator), and all other Medicare-funded diagnostic imaging examinations 2001-2019. RESULTS: CT scanning increased from 4663.5 per 100 000 person-years in 2001 to 14 506 in 2019 (211% increase), with substantial variation by type and anatomical region. The 2008-2009 PSR report was followed by an immediate reduction in CT scanning of 237.7 CTs per 100 000 people per quarter (95% CI -333.4 to -141.9) though growth in use soon continued at the preintervention rate. The degree of change in utilisation following the report differed between states/territories and by scan type, both in terms of the immediate change and the slope. For other diagnostic imaging modalities, there was an increase in the slope, while for MRI there was no change in either parameter. CONCLUSION: Actions consisting of financial disincentives for service overtesting and provider/public education components may limit excessive use of diagnostic imaging in fee-for-service systems, however, effects observed here were only short lived.